EMAWOnline - Top 12 ATS Staff Picks

EMAWOnline – Top 12 ATS Staff Picks

Three games this week in the Big 12 feature two conference teams, while others in the league wrap up their non-conference schedule.

EMAW Online Picks Standings

Mason and Gabe continue to compete back and forth for first place.

Duke at Kansas -7, 11:00 a.m. FS1

Kansas QB Jalon Daniels has the Jayhawks off to their first 3-0 start since 2009 (Associated Press)

Mason: Lance Leipold is the real deal. That doesn’t mean the Jayhawks are going to win this game, or win a bunch of games this season, but he’s making Kansas a real football team again. The Jayhawks’ offense has torched poor defenses at the beginning of this season and at the end of last season. Duke doesn’t have a great defense and they are also trying to rebuild. With a packed crowd in Lawrence, and a great start to the year from Jalon Daniels, it looks like the Jayhawks could be 4-0 for the first time in more than a decade.

The pick: Kansas -7

Alec: Jalon Daniels looks like the real deal at quarterback with seven touchdown passes in three weeks. In a matchup between two storied basketball schools, I’ll side with the Jayhawks who went 4-0 and continue to be one of college football’s best season opener stories, though I like what Mike Elko has done in Durham so far.

The pick: Kansas -7

Gabe: Kansas is averaging 53 points per game and has done legitimately smart things with its offensive staff for the first time in years this season. If I could, I’d pick up the slack in this situation, as I think KU will score in the mid-40s and Duke will score in the mid-20s. Under Lance Leipold, Kansas has covered six straight games. Four of those games have been away from home and four of those have been against conference opponents. At home, with a packed crowd on hand, I’ll bring the Jayhawks to cover.

The pick: Kansas -7

#17 Baylor at Iowa State -2.5, 11:00 AM ESPN2

Iowa State wide receiver Xavier Hutchinson has already caught five touchdown passes this season
Iowa State wide receiver Xavier Hutchinson has already caught five touchdown passes this season (Associated Press)

Mason: Vegas may be catching me, but Baylor as a sub-field-goal underdog against Iowa State is an easy take for me. Maybe it’s bias against Iowa State and my willingness to look past some of my Baylor concerns, but I’m rolling with the Bears. Dave Aranda has proven to be one of the best coaches in the league.

The pick: Baylor +2.5

Alec: Probably the game of the week in the Big 12, Baylor travels to Iowa State, which is the favorite at home despite the Bears being ranked in the polls. I like what Hunter Dekkers has done at quarterback for Iowa State this year, and I think this is a great opportunity for the Cyclones to make a statement.

The Pick: Iowa State -2.5

Gabe: I haven’t picked Iowa State to cover once in the first three weeks of the season and I’ve been burned out two out of three times. Baylor has trouble shooting the ball and the only time we’ve seen them on the road this year, their offense produced 20 points in a double-overtime game. I think we’ll be annoyed by an AP poll that features the Las Vegas favorite covering the spread as a local favorite in Ames.

The Pick: Iowa State -2.5

TCU at SMU +2.5, 11:00 AM ESPNU

Sonny Dykes returns to SMU this weekend
Sonny Dykes returns to SMU this weekend (AP Images)

Mason: Another morning kickoff in the Big 12 and he’s one of the best rivalry names in college football. The Horned Frogs and Mustangs are playing for the Iron Skillet this weekend and I’m taking the Mustangs. The first thought might be to take TCU as both schools had to change coaches after last season, but SMU’s home game combined with most of their offensive talent makes them the better option. This will be the first semi-final of the season for TCU.

The choice: SMU +2.5

Alec: Request to change the name of this rivalry game to “Sonny Dykes Bowl”, please! This is a good matchup between Dykes’ old team, SMU, and his new team, TCU. I hope emotions run high on this one, but I’m going to side with the Pony Express.

The choice: SMU +2.5

Gabe: This game should be an absolute shootout. Two spread offenses throwing the ball. I think SMU has the horses, pun intended entirely, to win this game outright.

The choice: SMU +2.5

#22 Texas at Texas Tech +6.5, 2:30 p.m. ESPN

Texas running back Bijan Robinson
Texas running back Bijan Robinson (AP Photo)

Mason: The Horns are 3-0 against the spread to start the season and I expect them to continue that trend in Lubbock. In the last three trips to West Texas, Texas has scored at least 40 points, including 63 in their 2020 COVID shootout. I like the energy of Joey McGuire and seeing Texas Tech football reinvigorated, but I think this is the game. showing them that you still have a way to go.

The Pick: Texas -6.5

Alec: Quinn Ewers has practiced this week for the Longhorns, which inspires confidence in his availability. I like that the Longhorns outplay the Red Raiders even if Hudson Card is the quarterback. Texas’ defensive line play has been strong.

The Pick: Texas -6.5

Gabe: Texas is receiving 93 percent of public bets according to Odds Shark and the Longhorns are 1-4 against the spread in their last five road games. Give me the Red Raiders to keep this one within a score.

The pick: Texas Tech +6.5

K-State at #6 Oklahoma -12.5, 7:00 pm FOX

Deuce Vaughn helped the Wildcats beat Oklahoma like a true freshman in 2020
Deuce Vaughn helped the Wildcats beat Oklahoma like a true freshman in 2020 (Associated Press)

Mason: Chris Klieman seems to know something when it comes to facing Oklahoma, I don’t think the Cats will win, but they know they need a good week. K-State covers and all eyes are on the Texas Tech game the following week to see which Wildcat team will appear the rest of the season.

The pick: K-State +12.5

Alec: Oklahoma smoked out one of the worst Power 5 teams in the country last week at Nebraska, and they looked really scary doing it. Kansas State is significantly better than Nebraska this season, but I think Brent Venables makes a statement in his first Big 12 competition.

The Pick: Oklahoma -12.5

Gabe: In three seasons under Chris Kleiman, Kansas State has covered against Oklahoma in all three matchups despite entering as an underdog by 23.5, 27.5 and 12.5 points. I’ll take the Wildcats to cover this weekend again in a recovery spot after a bad loss at home.

The Pick: Kansas State +12.5

Leave a Comment

Your email address will not be published.