EMAWOnline - Top 12 ATS Staff Picks

EMAWOnline – Top 12 ATS Staff Picks

EMAW Online Recruiting Positions

Gabe outpointed Mason after a strong week 6-2-1

Oklahoma at Nebraska +11, 11:00 a.m. FOX

Mason: I’m taking the Sooners. I think they’re a superior team and I know there may be some fear of Mickey Joseph hitting after firing Scott Frost, but I think Nebraska is such a bad team it won’t matter. The Sooners will also have something to prove after their slow start against Kent State and last year’s tight game with Nebraska. boomer!

The Pick: Oklahoma -11

Alec: Nebraska just fired their head coach after two games into the season. That will lead to a rally and a close game or a blowout. I’ll take the side of a blast, give me the Sooners at -11.

The Pick: Oklahoma -11

Gabe: Eleven points feel significantly too low for Nebraska considering the recent firing of Scott Frost and a three-point loss to Georgia Southern on Saturday. Maybe I’m crazy, but I will say that Nebraska remains close under interim head coach Mickey Joseph, who was injured by Oklahoma while playing quarterback for the Cornhuskers.

The pick: Nebraska +11

Texas State at Baylor -30, 11:00 a.m. FS1

Mason: It’s a big number, which makes me a little tired. The Bears let me down last weekend in Provo, too, but Texas State is bad this season. They sit 1-1, they beat FIU who only beat FCS Bryant by one. The crushing loss to Nevada for Texas State was by 24 points, and without Jay Norvell, Carson Strong or Romeo Doubs, Nevada lost last weekend to the Incarnate Word. I’m going to Sic Em for the last time.

The pick: Baylor -30

Alec: Texas State used to be called TMU on my favorite TV show, Friday Night Lights. If Eric Taylor was training, I bet the difference would be less than 30.5 points. But the Bears need to gain confidence in Blake Shapen at quarterback. This is a tough question, but I’m sticking with the Bears.

The pick: Baylor -30.5

Gabe: Baylor’s passing game left a lot to be desired when last Saturday night turned into Sunday morning. Quarterback Blake Shapen and the Bears could never find confidence in the passing game and fell short in double overtime against future Big 12 foe BYU in Week 2. I will say they bounced back at home against a team of Texas State that should be dominated.

The pick: Baylor -30.5

Townson at West Virginia -31.5, 12:00 p.m. ESPN+

Mason: West Virginia needs a win very badly, 0-2 starts with a Thursday trip to Blacksburg closing in, the best time for a win is against an FCS team. JT Daniels hasn’t been the main reason the Mountaineers have lost this season, but like Adrian Martinez in Nebraska, he has made his mistake at the worst possible time. He threw a go-ahead pick-six to Pitt and the game-losing pick-six to Kansas’ Cobee Bryant last week. I hate to do it with a big number, but historically Towson has never been close in these games, so I’m sticking with the Mountaineers.

The Pick: West Virginia -31.5

Alec: Well, West Virginia lost to Kansas and Pitt in dramatic fashion in each of the first two weeks of the season. The line of scrimmage needs to improve for the Mountaineers to get out of the Big 12 basement.

The pick: Townson +31.5

Gabe: If this isn’t a cathartic victory for the Mountaineers, things are going to get even bleaker in Morgantown. I think it will be a much-needed blowout from West Virginia to get their first win of the season.

The Pick: West Virginia -31.5

Ohio at Iowa State -18, 1 p.m. ESPN+

Mason: The Bobcats are playing their second straight “buy game” after being written off by Penn State last weekend. Iowa State is coming off the best of finally beating Iowa. It’s hard to properly assess the Cyclones after playing against an FCS team and a team with poor offense. Iowa State has done surprisingly well in dominating its inferior non-conference opponent at the FBS level in recent years. I’ll probably regret going with another favorite, but here we are.

The Choice: Iowa State -18

Alec: I believed in Iowa State last week against arch-rivals Iowa. I think the Cyclone offense will start to work a little better against a MAC opponent with Hunter Dekkers leading the charge. Give me the cyclones at -18.

The Choice: Iowa State -18

Gabe: Iowa State snapped a six-game losing streak in the CyHawk game last week. Perhaps an emotional letdown allows Ohio to hang up and stay within the number. I’m sticking with the Bobcats.

The Pick: Ohio +18

Tulane at K-State -14.5, 2:00 p.m. ESPN+

Mason, Alec, Gabe: K-Status -14.5

Kansas at Houston -9.5, 3:00 PM ESPNU

Mason: Reality check time in Houston, but for whom? The Jayhawks could go back to Earth, but Lance Leipold has proven he’s too good a coach for that. Houston lost to Texas Tech last week, even though the Red Raiders gave the ball away multiple times and will likely end up in the bottom third of the Big 12. I think Houston will probably win, but Kansas will keep it within 9.5.

The pick: Kansas +9.5

Alec: Houston was the Cinderella of Group 5 entering the season, and just two weeks into the year, the glass slipper has already shattered into a million pieces. Kansas has become the Cinderella Power 5 across the country. I’ll get the Jayhawks to cover.

The pick: Kansas +9.5

Gabe: Through two weeks, Jalon Daniels has led the Jayhawk offense to the highest scoring mark in Division 1 football. Houston has played two straight games with multiple overtimes. I think Daniels is keeping the success of KU and the Jayhawks are in another close.

The pick: Kansas +9.5

Texas Tech at NC State -10, 6:00 p.m. ESPN2

Mason: Another grind looms for Texas Tech after last week’s double-overtime game with Houston. I think NC State has enough in the tank to cover their top ten.

The Pick: North Carolina State -10

Alec: I believed in NC State going into the season, and the Week 1 scare against East Carolina didn’t completely throw me off the train. Devin Leary is the best QB in this matchup. I’m staying with the wolf pack.

The Pick: North Carolina State -10

Gabe: NC State started the year with sky-high expectations and ranks 16th in this week’s AP poll. The Wolfpack survived their Week 1 scare in East Carolina, and I think they’ll survive this visit from the Red Raiders with a convincing victory.

The Pick: North Carolina State -10

Arkansas Pine Bluff at Oklahoma State -54.5, 6 p.m. ESPN+

Mason: This is a giant number for the Cowboys to get to. Their offense can definitely do it, but can the circumstances of the game and their defense make sure they don’t let anyone get away from the goalie? The last time Oklahoma State beat a team by 55 points or more was in 2015 against a startup UTSA. History says I should go with the Golden Lions, but something tells me the Cowboys surpass the 60-point mark and miraculously cover this big number.

The Pick: Oklahoma State -54.5

Alec: Not a possibility I would consider putting money into this game with such a big line.

The Selection: UAPB +54.5

Gabe: If you are betting on this game, you may have a problem. Oklahoma State defeated Arizona State, 34-17, during Week 2. Just about everything has to go perfectly to cover a nearly eight-touchdown line, so I’ll err on the side of Mike Gundy taking his foot off the gas. before. the Cowboys start with the Big 12 game.

The Selection: UAPB +54.5

UTSA at Texas -12.5, 7:00 p.m. Red Longhorn

Mason: It would be very Texas to lose this game. But this UTSA team isn’t as good as it was last year and the Roadrunners are coming off their second straight overtime game after beating Army last week, by three. Bijan Robinson should be able to carry the load for the Longhorns.

The Pick: Texas -12.5

Alec: If Quinn Ewers starts at QB, I’m hitting the Longhorns. But instead, he’s Hudson Card, and his ankle health is a concern. This feels like the kind of game Bijan Robinson should go crazy on. But this is the UTSA Super Bowl.

The pick: UTSA +12.5

Gabe: Texas quarterback Quinn Ewers hurt his collarbone during the Longhorns’ loss to Alabama. Without it, more Hudson Card isn’t necessarily a great recipe for UT’s success. I will say that the Roadrunners can keep it close on this one.

The pick: UTSA +12.5

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